DALCowboys
-
8
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
81°F
9 mph
16
CARPanthers
-
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
81°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
0
0
0
8
8
Panthers
0
10
0
6
16
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
234
293
Total Plays
58
62
Yards / Play
4.0
4.7
EPA / Play
-0.28
-0.13
Passing Yards
138
146
Comp/Att
19/29(66%)
17/26(65%)
Yards / Pass
4.8
5.6
EPA / Pass
-0.31
-0.03
Rushing Yards
96
147
Rush Attempts
23
33
Yards / Rush
4.2
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.05
-0.17
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
20
Passing 1st downs
10
9
Rushing 1st downs
4
9
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
18%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
2
4
3rd Down Attempts
11
12
Red Zone %
100%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.52
-4.86
Sacks
6
3
Sack Yards
-32
-15
Sack EPA
-10.16
-4.22
Penalties
10
9
Penalty Yards
85
80
Penalty EPA
-7.70
-7.31
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model57.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+16
Home nfelo
1,517
Away nfelo
1,573
Home Field
+66.0
Base HFA
+56.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.7
Time Adj
-10.1
Net QB Adjustment
+6.6
Home QB Adjustment
+3.1
Away QB Adjustment
-3.5
Market Regression
+12.7
Final Difference
55.3
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
-3.5
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+3.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
20
Yards / Game
22
16
Passing Yards / Game
15
23
Rushing Yards / Game
10
12
EPA
EPA / Play
19
27
EPA / Pass
17
27
EPA / Rush
7
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
26
Interceptions / Game
4
16
Fumbles / Game
13
10
Turnover EPA / Game
25
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
20
4th Down Efficiency
10
18
RZ Efficiency
26
28
Panthers Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
7
Yards / Game
9
8
Passing Yards / Game
17
16
Rushing Yards / Game
4
8
EPA
EPA / Play
9
12
EPA / Pass
14
19
EPA / Rush
4
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
7
Interceptions / Game
25
27
Fumbles / Game
9
12
Turnover EPA / Game
19
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
24
4th Down Efficiency
26
16
RZ Efficiency
12
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
2-8
O/U
Panthers
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
6-4
O/U