OAKRaiders
1-2
17
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
024
LACChargers
1-2
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
7
0
3
7
17
Chargers
7
17
0
0
24
Spread
7
P
Total
UNDER
49
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
264
305
Total Plays
69
63
Yards / Play
3.8
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.17
-0.08
Passing Yards
188
150
Comp/Att
24/39(62%)
13/24(54%)
Yards / Pass
4.8
6.3
EPA / Pass
-0.30
-0.15
Rushing Yards
76
155
Rush Attempts
23
37
Yards / Rush
3.3
4.2
EPA / Rush
+0.01
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
16
Passing 1st downs
12
6
Rushing 1st downs
7
7
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
9%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
1
5
3rd Down Attempts
11
14
Red Zone %
40%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-17.17
-2.60
Sacks
7
2
Sack Yards
-50
-17
Sack EPA
-19.79
-3.65
Penalties
9
4
Penalty Yards
80
34
Penalty EPA
-4.98
-3.65
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-7.0
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model72.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+194
Home nfelo
1,546
Away nfelo
1,484
Home Field
+38.5
Base HFA
+42.9
Divisional Adj
-19.4
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+15.0
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+93.4
Home QB Adjustment
+16.0
Away QB Adjustment
-77.4
Market Regression
+14.2
Final Difference
171.0
Model Spread
-7.0
Quarterbacks
A. O'Connell
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-77.4
No recent game data available
J. Herbert
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+16.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
23
Yards / Game
27
28
Passing Yards / Game
32
21
Rushing Yards / Game
30
16
EPA
EPA / Play
24
20
EPA / Pass
22
24
EPA / Rush
26
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
12
Interceptions / Game
28
25
Fumbles / Game
10
8
Turnover EPA / Game
13
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
15
4th Down Efficiency
6
28
RZ Efficiency
24
12
Chargers Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
7
Yards / Game
18
14
Passing Yards / Game
17
27
Rushing Yards / Game
24
20
EPA
EPA / Play
22
5
EPA / Pass
18
9
EPA / Rush
31
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
20
Interceptions / Game
3
17
Fumbles / Game
27
21
Turnover EPA / Game
16
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
25
4th Down Efficiency
23
23
RZ Efficiency
13
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Chargers
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
4-6
O/U