OAKRaiders
2-0
10
TBD
FedExField
76°F
027
WASCommanders
1-1
TBD
FedExField
76°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
0
0
7
3
10
Commanders
7
7
7
6
27
Spread
+3.5
Total
UNDER
53
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
128
472
Total Plays
48
65
Yards / Play
2.7
7.3
EPA / Play
-0.36
+0.01
Passing Yards
96
356
Comp/Att
19/31(61%)
25/30(83%)
Yards / Pass
3.1
11.9
EPA / Pass
-0.74
+0.67
Rushing Yards
32
116
Rush Attempts
13
34
Yards / Rush
2.5
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.11
-0.36
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
7
18
Passing 1st downs
3
14
Rushing 1st downs
2
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
0%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
--
7
3rd Down Attempts
11
15
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-2.65
-4.90
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-22
-9
Sack EPA
-6.20
-2.38
Penalties
4
10
Penalty Yards
--
77
Penalty EPA
--
-9.22
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.9%
Model62.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-61
Home nfelo
1,494
Away nfelo
1,561
Home Field
+26.6
Base HFA
+57.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-30.8
Net QB Adjustment
-20.9
Home QB Adjustment
-1.5
Away QB Adjustment
+19.4
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-91.7
Model Spread
+3.5
Quarterbacks
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
+19.4
K. Cousins
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
-1.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
27
Yards / Game
18
22
Passing Yards / Game
30
15
Rushing Yards / Game
25
32
EPA
EPA / Play
15
13
EPA / Pass
16
8
EPA / Rush
22
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
12
Interceptions / Game
20
9
Fumbles / Game
31
9
Turnover EPA / Game
13
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
7
4th Down Efficiency
27
23
RZ Efficiency
8
11
Commanders Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
20
Yards / Game
17
24
Passing Yards / Game
14
23
Rushing Yards / Game
28
11
EPA
EPA / Play
25
31
EPA / Pass
14
31
EPA / Rush
29
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
30
Interceptions / Game
17
32
Fumbles / Game
25
18
Turnover EPA / Game
6
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
25
4th Down Efficiency
6
30
RZ Efficiency
17
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Commanders
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
7-3
O/U