SEASeahawks
-
28
TBD
Lucas Oil Stadium
70°F
016
INDColts
-
TBD
Lucas Oil Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
14
0
7
28
Colts
3
7
0
6
16
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
49
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
381
336
Total Plays
53
72
Yards / Play
7.2
4.7
EPA / Play
+0.14
-0.09
Passing Yards
241
223
Comp/Att
18/23(78%)
25/38(66%)
Yards / Pass
10.5
5.9
EPA / Pass
+0.53
+0.01
Rushing Yards
140
113
Rush Attempts
27
31
Yards / Rush
5.2
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.06
-0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
23
Passing 1st downs
12
14
Rushing 1st downs
6
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
44%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
9
13
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-5.01
-3.70
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-13
-28
Sack EPA
-3.83
-8.72
Penalties
7
2
Penalty Yards
53
--
Penalty EPA
-3.68
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
+2.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-1.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model52.8%
Spread Pick
Colts+3.0
Expected Value
+8.7%
Cover Probability
53.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+20
Home nfelo
1,562
Away nfelo
1,590
Home Field
+68.9
Base HFA
+44.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+24.1
Net QB Adjustment
-21.4
Home QB Adjustment
-21.8
Away QB Adjustment
-0.3
Market Regression
-61.9
Final Difference
-19.3
Model Spread
+1.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-0.3
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-21.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
11
Yards / Game
20
17
Passing Yards / Game
24
21
Rushing Yards / Game
10
12
EPA
EPA / Play
13
12
EPA / Pass
17
21
EPA / Rush
6
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
22
Interceptions / Game
2
3
Fumbles / Game
5
1
Turnover EPA / Game
31
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
18
4th Down Efficiency
32
18
RZ Efficiency
3
26
Colts Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
12
Yards / Game
16
28
Passing Yards / Game
18
32
Rushing Yards / Game
2
17
EPA
EPA / Play
8
17
EPA / Pass
18
24
EPA / Rush
2
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
7
Interceptions / Game
4
22
Fumbles / Game
20
18
Turnover EPA / Game
28
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
15
4th Down Efficiency
6
3
RZ Efficiency
19
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
6-4
SU
3-7
ATS
3-7
O/U
Colts
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U