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TEN logo

Tennessee Titans

2018 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
9-7
nfelo Rating
146719th
Point Diff / Game
+0.415th
Net EPA / Play
-0.00215th

2018 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
MIA logo
MIA@
L
20-27
-7
-89
2
HOU logo
HOU
W
20-17
+3
+3.5
W
11
3
JAX logo
JAX@
W
09-06
+3
+10
W
88
4
PHI logo
PHI
W
26-23
+3
+3
W
17
5
BUF logo
BUF@
L
12-13
-1
-6
L
-15
6
BAL logo
BAL
L
00-21
-21
+2.5
L
-67
7
LAC logo
LAC@
L
19-20
-1
+6.5
W
17
8BYE WEEK
9
DAL logo
DAL@
W
28-14
+14
+5
W
18
10
NE logo
NE
W
34-10
+24
+6.5
W
17
11
IND logo
IND@
L
10-38
-28
+1.5
L
-23
12
HOU logo
HOU@
L
17-34
-17
+3.5
L
-3
13
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
26-22
+4
-9.5
L
-2
14
JAX logo
JAX
W
30-09
+21
-5.5
W
20
15
NYG logo
NYG@
W
17-00
+17
-2.5
W
58
16
WAS logo
WAS
W
25-16
+9
-11
L
-84
17
IND logo
IND
L
17-33
-16
+5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.03
20th
EPA / Pass
-0.03
24th
EPA / Rush
-0.04
16th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.03
13th
EPA / Pass
+0.02
14th
EPA / Rush
-0.05
15th
Sack EPA
-4.47
16th
Turnover EPA
-5.46
18th
Point Differential
+0.4
15th
Points For
19.4
27th
Points Against
18.9
3rd
Total Yards
312.4
25th
Passing Yards
161.9
27th
Rushing Yards
126.4
6th
Total Yards Allowed
333.4
7th
Passing Allowed
183.6
7th
Rushing Allowed
116.4
19th

Conversions For

3rd Down
40%
14th
4th Down
58%
15th
Red Zone
53%
23rd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
37%
10th
4th Down
55%
15th
Red Zone
45%
2nd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
8th
Created
1.1
20th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
14th
Created
0.7
23rd

Fumbles

Lost
0.3
3rd
Created
0.4
19th